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Macro

The empirics of the natural rate of interest

Posted by e-axes on September 12, 2017

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Two alternative specifications

In this paper, Lewis and Vazquez-Grande extend Laubach and Williams (2003) work by estimating all the model parameters jointly and exploring alternative specifications for the unobserved processes that compose the natural rate.
Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: Alternative Specifications
Authors: Kurt F. Lewis, Francisco Vazquez-Grande
From: Federal Reserve Board

Del Negro and al. are using two models to estimate the natural rate of interest and its main drivers: a) a flexible multivariate unobserved component model; and b) a medium-scale DSGE model with nominal and financial frictions.


Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest
Authors: Marco Del Negro, Domenico Giannone, Marc P. Giannoni, Andrea Tambalotti
From: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Forecasting interest rates with macro trends

In this paper Bauer and Rudebusch suggest that the accuracy of long-range interest rate forecasts substantially improves by allowing time variation in both r∗ and π∗.
Interest Rates Under Falling Stars
Authors: Michael D. Bauer, Glenn D. Rudebusch
From: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

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