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Financial Markets

The puzzling stock markets

What are the narratives that drove the stock market fluctuations since January? How serious is the moral hazardĀ  created by the actions of central banks?


Why COVID forecasting was wrong?

There has been criticism of the Imperial College and the University of Washington’s COVID forecasts. What went wrong? Eichengreen on the public’s trust in experts.


Europe, COVID and politics

Does this moment represent a new opportunity for European cooperation? What does new research shows.


Corporate debt and bankruptcies

With non-financial corporate debt to GDP ratio at the highest level ever, what type of credit policy should the US follow in order to avoid undue scarring to firms and workers from the COVID crisis?


Consumption and saving patterns during COVID

Two research papers use novel ways to put big data together in order to analyze spending patterns of US households according to income levels during the first months of the COVID crisis.


Cash is king during the COVID crisis

Firms that were cash-rich pre-crisis are both rewarded by financial markets and able to gain market share during the crisis.

Economic Growth

Civil society, norms, governments and the markets

Exploring the non-government, non-market dimensions of modern economies.


New and noteworthy books in economics (June)

In the spirit of the times, theĀ  four books we selected for June are on Angrynomics, anti-system politics, but also on economics of belonging and how to create good jobs.


Time series modelling of COVID-19 scenarios

Two new research papers on forecasting the COVID progression.


Multipliers during the pandemic

Will fiscal spending be effective this time around?

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