Lockdown compliance and income distribution
Gitmez and al. develop a simple model of compliance with government orders during a pandemic. Their main assumptions are that compliance is costly, the costs of non-compliance are heterogeneous and depend on others’ compliance behavior, and the information that agents choose to consume matters. They find that:
- The share of complying individuals is increasing in average income;
- Income influences preferences over the level of enforcement of social distancing such as use of fines and arrests to deter non-compliance;
- Individuals for whom non-compliance is economically beneficial on the margin have a preference for information sources that downplay the severity of the pandemic threat.

Political Economy of Shelter-in-Place Compliance
Authors: Arda Gitmez, Konstantin Sonin, Austin L. Wright
From: University of Chicago, Bilkent University
Lockdown compliance and culture
In this paper, Campos-Mercade and al., collect measures of social preferences and health behaviors in two separate surveys involving a broadly representative sample of the Swedish population. They find that:
- Prosociality measured two years before the pandemic predicts health behaviors in response to COVID19;
- Prosocial individuals are more likely to follow physical distancing guidelines, stay home when sick, and buy face masks;
- The effects are robust to sociodemographic controls and cannot be explained by risk preferences, time preferences, beliefs, or personality traits.
Prosociality predicts health behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic
Authors: Pol Campos-Mercade, Armando N. Meier, Florian H. Schneider, Erik Wengström
From: University of Copenhagen, University of Chicago, University of Zurich, Lund University