Category: Macro

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Macro

More on the Phillips curve

New research might explain why policymakers underestimated the 2020 surge in inflation in the U.S.

Macro

How to measure r*

Should measures of a declining r* rely exclusively on observed yields on long-term government bonds?

Macro

On news and narratives

How news affect the U.S. and Euro Area yield curves? Does a narrative approach shed light on whether monetary policy matters?

Macro

Overreaction in expectations

New research on agents’ expectations when there is uncertainty about the persistence of a crisis and when recent observations become important.

Macro

Do interest rates drive investment?

Possible explanations of why the secular decline in the financial cost of capital did not increase business investments.

Macro

On government policies

New research on the credibility of government policies aimed at preserving fiscal prudence and price stability.

Macro

The U.S. debt ceiling debacle

Some creative responses in the event Congress doesn’t raise the debt ceiling.

Macro

Will secular stagnation return?

How will the structural factors that contributed to the secular stagnation of the 2010s affect the safe interest rate once the fight against the current inflation is won.

Macro

A second look at the Beveridge curve

New research on the Beveridge curve points to a soft landing in the U.S. labor market.

Macro

On stagflation

Is the Fed aiming at a period of stagflation? What is the long-run relationship between inflation and economic activity?

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