Category: Macro

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Macro

Predictions for 2022

Five economists on what to expect in 2022.

Macro

Monetary-Fiscal policy mix in the US

Two new papers on the conditions under which fiscal spending is expansionary and a model with endogenous regime switch.

Macro

On forecasting

Two new interesting papers on how to improve forecasting performance.

Macro

Is the debate over whether inflation is transitory over?

Inflation in both the US and Europe has risen significantly. Why this increase might be transitory for Europe but not for the US.

Macro

Low interest rates and corporate leverage

Are low interest rates expansionary or contractionary? A look at U.S. corporate leverage.

Macro

New inflation datasets

The World Bank constructed a global database of inflation and the Federal Reserve Board constructed an alternative measure.

Macro

Is unemployment a lagging indicator?

Patterns in unemployment can help predict a recession almost a year in advance…and people know what is coming.

Macro

The transmission of macroeconomic policies

Two new interesting contributions to behavioral macroeconomics that feature heterogeneous agents with information frictions.

Macro

Fiscal sustainability post COVID-19

Can a government permanently raise the deficit, without ever having to raise taxes? New interesting research… and no it is not MMT!

Macro

Social network effects and housing markets

Novel new data sets enable researchers to model agents’ economic decisions in a way that is closer to reality. Two papers on how peer effects impact housing markets.

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