The 2025 economic forecasts paint a picture of moderate growth and persistent challenges. But historical data suggests a 50% chance these projections may miss the mark!

An analysis of global productivity trends since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and the role of creativity in productivity growth.

New approaches to measure welfare when consumers’ heterogeneity and population growth are taken into consideration.

Can optimism boost economic activity? New research looks at the differences between G7 and non-G7 countries.  Is optimism about 2024 economic prospects warranted?

What is the impact of contracting working-age populations on the growth of per capita income and the natural rate of interest?

Both the Washington Consensus and the Beijing Consensus are in need of a radical rethink.

Is the U.S. achieving a soft landing? Is China’s economy dangerously slowing down?

New research on how high skilled immigrants in Europe contribute to innovation and the increase of the top 1% income share.

There is tentative evidence that the increase in productivity in the U.S. during the 2020-22 period can be attributed to the performance of work-from-home service industries. But there are caveats.

New research on how the bond market is the best predictor of recessions in the US, but is this true for Europe as well?