The latest revisions to the global economic outlook point towards increasing uncertainty. A new paper on how to investigate growth at risk.

Are the Fed’s projections for the US economy consistent with reality?

We have selected some interesting points from the recently released economic outlook reports.

A new working paper presents the idea of “confidence multiplier” as an amplifier of business cycle fluctuations. A warning for the global economy?

Ian Goldin suggests that the way forward is greater international cooperation which will increase global resilience. But the current trends point to a different direction.

Exploring the non-government, non-market dimensions of modern economies.

Latest  economic prospects for the U.S., Europe and Asia from the Peterson Institute and Brookings.

Ten year yields have declined in advanced countries and there are about nine reasons the global economy is at risk of a recessions.

In a recent paper Rachel and Summers argue that mature industrial economies are prone to secular stagnation, and therefore there is an urgent need for governments to find new ways of promoting investment and boosting private demand. Who disagrees?

Economists explain that certain patterns are forming in the US economy that should raise the alarm.