Category: Economic Growth

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Economic Growth

Optimism and global economic growth

Can optimism boost economic activity? New research looks at the differences between G7 and non-G7 countries.  Is optimism about 2024 economic prospects warranted?

Economic Growth

Population aging and economic growth

What is the impact of contracting working-age populations on the growth of per capita income and the natural rate of interest?

Economic Growth

In search of a new consensus

Both the Washington Consensus and the Beijing Consensus are in need of a radical rethink.

Economic Growth

Talk of recession again

Is the U.S. achieving a soft landing? Is China’s economy dangerously slowing down?

Economic Growth

Immigration in Europe

New research on how high skilled immigrants in Europe contribute to innovation and the increase of the top 1% income share.

Economic Growth

Remote work and productivity: mixed evidence so far

There is tentative evidence that the increase in productivity in the U.S. during the 2020-22 period can be attributed to the performance of work-from-home service industries. But there are caveats.

Economic Growth

The bond market as the best recession predictor in the US and Europe

New research on how the bond market is the best predictor of recessions in the US, but is this true for Europe as well?

Economic Growth

The state of the global economy

Global economic growth has already been revised downwards to 2.9 percent for 2022, from 5.7 percent in 2021. But there are further downside risks.

Economic Growth

Talk of recession

What is the likelihood of a recession in the US and when? Has the Fed achieved “soft landings” in the past?

Economic Growth

The state of the global economy

High uncertainty related to the war in Ukraine and loss of growth momentum foreshadow a difficult period ahead.

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