High uncertainty related to the war in Ukraine and loss of growth momentum foreshadow a difficult period ahead.

It’s all about the Fed’s credibility, but can China play a role?

The latest revisions to the global economic outlook point towards increasing uncertainty. A new paper on how to investigate growth at risk.

Are the Fed’s projections for the US economy consistent with reality?

We have selected some interesting points from the recently released economic outlook reports.

A new working paper presents the idea of “confidence multiplier” as an amplifier of business cycle fluctuations. A warning for the global economy?

Ian Goldin suggests that the way forward is greater international cooperation which will increase global resilience. But the current trends point to a different direction.

Exploring the non-government, non-market dimensions of modern economies.

Latest  economic prospects for the U.S., Europe and Asia from the Peterson Institute and Brookings.

Ten year yields have declined in advanced countries and there are about nine reasons the global economy is at risk of a recessions.