Cash is king during the COVID crisis
Firms that were cash-rich pre-crisis are both rewarded by financial markets and able to gain market share during the crisis.
Time series modelling of COVID-19 scenarios
Two new research papers on forecasting the COVID progression.
When expectations are “scarred”
The debate about the shape of the recovery (V, U or L) revolves around consumers’ confidence and fear. New research shows that during COVID households’ expectations behave differently than what is predicted by standard macro models.
In the event of a second wave, we now have better policies
Brand new research using a a multi-risk version of SIR models suggests policies that lower both societal and economic loss.
Economics or culture?
Income or culture predicts health behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic?
Jobs at risk in the EU
Which European regions are more at risk of facing a labor market crisis induced by the pandemic?
The COVID-19 debt crisis
How can advanced economies deal with rising debt after the crisis is over.
The importance of open data
How can statistics capture the current state of the economy? How can AI play a significant role in the fight against COVID?
A new paper refutes earlier findings that non-pharmaceutical interventions during the 1918 Spanish flu led to higher subsequent economic growth.
A COVID vaccine will require really big spending
Brand new research by Michael Kremer and al. on how to incentivize firms to quickly develop and manufacture at large scale a COVID vaccine.