The dangerous r-star!
In countries with little fiscal space and low interest rates tracking r-star can be costly.
Belief polarization
When uncertainty and prior beliefs lead to polarization.
Debt sustainability: a careful look at r-g
Brand new research on why r – g is not the whole story when it comes to government debt sustainability.
Random forests and macroeconomics
Three new papers use random forests, a machine learning technique, to develop early warning signs for financial crises and economic recessions.
Thoughts on the year ahead
Will the 2020s be like the roaring 20s? What are the 2021 priorities for US monetary policy? What to look forward to?
New and noteworthy books in economics (December)
Our selection for this month includes an e-book on the shareholder-stakeholder debate, two books on stability and disorder in banking, and a book that explains how China became a leader in fintech.
On nationally-oriented monetary policy
New research on international monetary cooperation: the incentives for and against.