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Monetary Policy

Do interest rates matter?

Are interest rates the main channel through which monetary policy is transmitted? A look at old and new research.

China

China News

Things are "fishy" in China!

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Macro

The modern firm

The Medici cycle and why the rising income inequality is driven by firm-level inequality.

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Inequality

The Universal Basic Income debate

What are the real goals of a UBI policy? What are the main problems and what experiments are being run. Is it a better policy for developing countries? How does it affect the bargaining power of workers and women?

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Economic Growth

Do we need growth?

Why we might need to adjust our views about strong economic growth and productivity.

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Oil

The future of energy

A new IMF working paper traces the role of oil in the global economy beyond 2040. But are our energy intensity projections accurate? If so, will a low oil price cause a macroeconomic shock of historic proportions in the Middle East?

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Banking

Is the global financial system stable?

The Financial Stability Board just released its sixth report on the implementation of resolution reforms. New research on CCP, bank capital ratios and shadow banking cast doubt on whether the global financial system is now "safer, simpler and fairer than before".

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Economic Growth

Views on the global economy

How will the global economy look like in 50 years? Views from the US and Asia.

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Inequality

The marriage market

Palais and al. on what is draining women's ambition. Autor and al. on the marriage undesirability of manufacturing workers.

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Macro

On inflation

Can big corporate deals and value chains provide an explanation for why the Phillips curve has flattened?

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